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Thursday, October 30, 2008

Electoral Count: October 30, 2008


National Percentage
McCain 61%, Obama 38%, all other responses 1%

My apologies for not posting this last week. Blogger was down last Thursday afternoon and AOL had refreshed their straw poll the next day. Just a matter of timing.

This week's anomaly goes to North Dakota where a whopping 11% of those votes are going to Bob Barr (Libertarian, GA) against McCain's 46% and Obama's 42%. I have awarded that state to Obama, but it's probably more likely to go to McCain. Also, there are only 142 votes from North Dakota out of a total of over 182,000 nationally - so the numbers are statistically very skewed.

One thing I did notice this week is that McCain has gained in every state except for North Dakota (due to the Barr factor), nor has he gained in the District of Columbia. This could be an indication of a "ninth-inning" surge. Should be interesting.

Only five days to go.

source: AOL Straw Poll
see also: Methodology (revised October 3, 2008)

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